Prof WN

Report commissioned by David Fowler Burness v Fiji National Provident Fund and Republic of Fiji and the Attorney General of Fiji Civil Action: HBC No 183 of 2011

Professor Wadan Narsey

School of Economics

Faculty of Business and Economics

The University of the South Pacific

1. I, WADAN LAL NARSEY of 27 Gardiner Road, Nasese, Suva state as follows:

I have been requested by David Fowler Burness to provide an economic analysis in relation to the proposal of the Fiji National Provident Fund „Board‟ to reduce the pensions of FNPF beneficiaries, including David Fowler Burness, the Applicant in the action for human rights redress pursuant to section 38 (5) of the Human Rights Decree.

I am qualified to make this report, having a number of relevant university degrees (a Bachelors Degree in Mathematics and Science from the University of Otago, a Masters Degree in Economics from the University of West Indies (Jamaica) and a DPhil from the University of Sussex in UK) and having analysed and written on the problems associated with the FNPF for many years.

In addition, I have the following work experience (with the details provided in my CV):

1.0 Employment and significant publications:

1972: Fiji Islands Bureau of Statistics;

1973: the University of the South Pacific ( lecturer in Mathematics and, later, Economics).

I have been employed at USP since then, including three years as USP‟s Director of Development and Planning (1993 – 1996)

1996: Elected unopposed into Parliament until 1999 when I returned to USP.

From 2004- 2007 semi-retired independent consultant.

From 2007 to current- USP‟s Professor in Economics.

Over the past 38 years I have conducted numerous consultancies for regional governments, donors, regional and international organizations. In the last ten years, my consultancy and research work has focused on Fiji and Pacific development problems and applied policy. 2

Recent books published:

(i) Just Wages in Fiji (for ECREA)

(ii) Poverty in Fiji ( for Fiji Islands Bureau of Statistics)

(iii) Gender issues in Employment and Unemployment in Fiji (for AusAID and FIBoS).

(iv) Numerous other publications in eminent journals and books too many to mention but can be supplied upon request.

I have extensive workshop and training experience in Fiji and the Pacific on the subjects of poverty alleviation, social justice and civic responsibility, employment and unemployment, gender, regional trade, and development issues in general.

I have written more than a hundred articles for the Fiji media, on economic, political and social issues, including many on the problems of the FNPF (see the attached CV).

2.0 Professional Credentials and Appointment to Government Boards (1999-2005)

In 1999, I was appointed by the Fiji Government (led by the Fiji Labour Party then) on the

Fiji National Provident Fund Investment Committee, on which I served for three years.

I was also appointed by the same government on the Asset Management Bank Board (tasked with recovering the “bad debts” resulting from the National Bank of Fiji disaster) on which I also served for the full three years.

In 2004 I was appointed by the SDL Government on the Board of FIRCA (Fiji Islands Revenue and Customs authority) from which I resigned on issues of principle.

I have also made presentations to numerous Fiji Government Cabinets in respect of major development projects for the SDL/FLP Multi-party Cabinet, as well as on poverty and poverty alleviation issues in Fiji (the latter with a team from the Fiji Islands Bureau of Statistics).

Three years ago I was also invited by Commodore Bainimarama to chair the FNPF Board, which offer I declined on principle, as I informed him that I was personally opposed to military coups removing elected governments, since my personal economic analyses of previous coups had led me to the conclusion that they did great economic, political and social harm to our country.

I have disclosed to Mr Burness the fact that I am the recipient of an FNPF pension (ie a beneficiary) but have also disclosed that I have written as an economist, on issues pertaining to FNPF since 2002, that is, prior to my receiving the pension, while contributing on the 1998 FNPF Amendment Act in Parliament. 3

3.0 Questions asked by Mr Burness

I have been asked to address a series of specific questions, as follows:

Question 1

Question 1 (a) Can FNPF pensions be legally reduced?

Answer: No they cannot be, pursuant to the FNPF Act.

Question 1(b) Can FNPF vary the pension rates differentially for high/low income pensioners?

Answer: The FNPF Act states they cannot.

Question 1(c) Does FNPF have the financial capacity to pay existing pensions at their current rates?

Answer: The provisions of the FNPF Act and the existence of the Buffer Fund, which has wrongly been denied interest payments from 1975 to the present, suggest without any doubt that they do have capacity to pay, for another 18 years or more.

Question 2:

Should there be an official inquiry into the Fiji National Provident Fund in relation to investments, related issues with respect to the Burness legal action, and the planned implementation of the review by the FNPF and on what economic basis?

In my report below, I outline the many reasons (including possible actuarial errors by the ILO and Mercer studies) why an Expert Commission of Inquiry is necessary to make certain recommendations which may then be considered by an elected Government.

4.0 FNPF issues prior to 2006 – economic analyses

FNPF has been larger, in total, than all the other private financial institutions put together. FNPF, is the biggest lender to the Fiji Government, as well as the largest player in the financial market. By purchasing majority shares in ATH, FNPF also became the biggest stakeholder in the telecommunications market, with its numerous monopolies, which have constrained the Fiji economy for decades, particularly in the last twelve years under FNPF influence.

I have published a number of articles, on how FNPF has over the decades come to its current crisis. These can be supplied upon request, as follows: 4

In “The ATHL monopoly: between the devil and the deep blue sea”, The Fiji Times, 6 March 2002, I wrote:

How FNPF’s purchase, at an extremely inflated price, of majority shares in the ATH

super monopoly condemned to a quandary where to protect its investment, it would

have to squeeze maximum dividends out of its ATH shares, and hence the maximum

from Vodaphone, Telecom Fiji and FINTEL (over which it only obtained “management rights”, not actual ownership of shares. The PS Finance then (Narube)

was also then the Chairman of the FNPF Board.

In the “The Reserve Bank and the FNPF: funny business for the guv”. The Fiji Times, 12 March 2002 I pointed out:

The massive conflicts interest for the Governor of the Reserve Bank who

was also appointed as Chairman of FNPF and he also accepted Chairmanship of

FINTEL: with the RBF forcing FNPF to bring back its investments (thereby losing

revenue and risk minimisation for FNPF), RBF’s role as regulator of Fiji’s financial

system while FNPF was a huge player in the financial market, etc. A similar conflict of

interest was also always there with the Permanent Scretary of Finance, or other

Permanent Secrataries being appointed as Chairman of the FNPF Board.

In “Communications Monopoly monsters at work” The Fiji Times, 21 May 2004, I wrote:

How the communications monopolies were doing huge damage to Fiji economically

and socially, and FNPF, to gain short-term dividends, was harming itself in the long

run by supporting monopolistic practices which squeezed the economy, reduced

economic growth and job creation and thereby squeezed its own long-term growth in

contributions from existing and new members.

In “Auditors between the devil and the deep blue sea”. The Sunday Times, 14 August 2005, I wrote:

that the implications of the Professor Michael White’s analysis of FNPF

accounts by auditors on how FNPF would appear to be far worse if proper

accounting procedures were to be followed in respect of the massive premium paid by

FNPF for ATH shares, and the likely loss of value once competition was brought into

the telecommunications industry. This was a very prophetic article, as well the

analysis by Professor White.

In “Stock markets, sharks, suckers and victims”. Islands Business, May 2006 I wrote:

While stakeholders in the Fiji Stock Exchange had been attempting to encourage the

public to convert their savings into shares in the stock market, it points to

the dangers lurking in the future, especially if governments, under pressure from

WTO or just a good change in policy, try to reduce monopolies, such as cement

producing companies, or ATH. There would be inevitable losses in share value, 5

which stock market stakeholders were not pointing out. FNPF had even been

encouraging, in my view wrongly, its members to use their FNPF money to buy

shares in ATH, the monopoly.

5.0 Post 2006

Since the events of 2006, there have been massively increased government borrowings from the FNPF, and massive losses in some large investments.

I have written the following articles, which have had direct or indirect bearing on the FNPF:

“Coup wolves circling FNPF” Fiji Sun, 14 March 2009 and The Fiji Times 13 March 2009.

Early warning: Fijian Holdings Limited, a company controlled by the Military

Government, tried to borrow more than a hundred millions from FNPF, when private

banks had refused. Thankfully, FNPF refused. More ominously, the Military

Government wants to borrow hundreds of millions, basically to sustain their increased

recurrent expenditure and military over-spending. The private banks, local or overseas,

will not oblige. Should FNPF oblige? Will FNPF oblige? If FNPF continuously gives in

to such lending pressures from Government, without economic growth, it will only

encourage inflation to rise in the long term, thereby slashing the real value of everyone’s

savings and pensions. And if ever pensioners totally lose confidence in FNPF, it may

become insolvent, with future pension rates slashed, and even existing pensions reduced

in dollar terms. The key issue is that the FNPF Board is now controlled by an unelected

Military Government’s appointees and we the FNPF contributors who own the savings do not have a single direct representative on the FNPF Board who can be accountable to us.

In “Saving FNPF and Fiji” 12 May 2010 (Pacific Scoop- online media), I wrote:

Worrying news about Fiji National Provident Fund (FNPF) and the Reserve Bank of Fiji

(RBF). FNPF announced a $327 million “write down” in its investment value (with

some $300 million of that due to the Natadola loan). But FNPF also has some other large

exposures which are not looking good: Momi, FSC and other private sector borrowers.

And very strange that RBF has lent $22 million to the Fiji Sugar Corporation (FSC).

These are all extremely worrying developments for FNPF, RBF and for Fiji. Urgent need

for Public Inquiry. How did these massive losses take place? Who should be held

responsible? Might it get worse for FNPF? And how should FNPF management be

strengthened to prevent further unwise decisions?

In “Helping FNPF, despite media censorship”. Pacific Scoop. 18 January 2011, I wrote:

With a stagnating economy FNPF revenues have been severely constrained. Few new

jobs have been created and existing incomes have not grown; many loans are nonperforming; returns on FNPF investments have been declining; and large amounts of

capital values have been written off because of mismanagement. But collectively, FNPF 6

contributors and pensioners remain the largest group of spenders in the Fiji economy.

This article constructively suggested how FNPF contributors and pensioners could direct

their consumption expenditure towards FNPF investments (such as Holiday Inn,the

Intercontinental, and Tappoo City), and change FNPF policies for the better. How FNPF

management could encourage this by providing financial incentives and changing their

management structure. Called on FNPF stakeholders (FNPF itself, unions, pensioners,

civil servants etc) to conduct marketing campaigns in the aid of FNPF assets and loans

recipients.

In “Your money is not fully yours”. The Fiji Times 7 May 2011, I wrote:

..while Fiji citizens technically own their personal monetary holdings, they and their

institutions (like FNPF) are not free to invest it where they wish to- they must obtain RBF

permission to invest abroad. FNPF, which used to keep moderate amounts of their funds

abroad in order to diversify their investments, have also been forced to bring them back,

wherever there have been foreign exchange reserves crises, and suffered losses as a

consequence. Whatever the FNPF loses in income, is gained by the RBF, which passes it

on to the Government of the day, to spend and enjoy. Fiji citizens, who were forced to

keep their investments in Fiji, have paid a heavy price, periodically.

In “FNPF sinks lower” Pacific Scoop. 26 May 2011, I wrote:

That the FNPF symposium being organized by the FNPF and the Miliary Regime was a

farce. The FNPF management and Board, under orders from the Bainimarama Regime,

will continue to hide all the reports that would reveal that the Bainimarama Regime is

itself directly and indirectly responsible for a large part of the mess that the FNPF is

currently in and the urgency of needed reforms; The Bainimarama Regime will continue

to milk the FNPF cow, which, with increased contributions and reduced payouts, will

give them even more of our savings to use ad misuse, however they wish. The

contributors to FNPF and the pensioners of FNPF, will have no choice in the matter.

With media censorship, they cannot even publicly and freely discuss these massive

changes to your pension fund.

Called on the contributors and pensioners of FNPF to demand the public release of all the reports by IMF, WB, ILO and recent independent consultants; demand the release of all the reports on the investigation into the investments at Natadola, Momi; demand that the majority of the FNPF Board Members must be democratically elected by the current

FNPF contributors and with pensioners having separate elected representation; demand

that the Chairman of the Board must be from these elected Members and definitely not

some foreigner as currently; demand that any decision on changes to the FNPF must be

made by the elected Board and not the current Board and Management; demand that

FNPF must be allowed to invest as much of its funds abroad as is prudently advisable and that RBF must recompense FNPF for all the lost earnings because of foreign investments brought back; demand that the FNPF management swear oaths of allegiance to the real owners of the Fund- the contributors and the pensioners, and not to an illegal Military Government. 7

In “Consultants helping the Fiji military milk the FNPF cow”.Pacific Scoop. 2 June 2011 I wrote:

While consultants were recommending significant reductions to the annuity rates for

future pensioners, serious questions may be asked, for example, whether the Mercer

calculations are correct, especially their assumption of Fiji’s future mortality patterns

following Australian patterns. While these consultants and FNPF management talked

about accountability and transparency, and the need to protect “whistleblowers”- they do not apply these same principles to themselves with their data and analysis. The

Promontory recommendations on the “Restructured Board” are a total sell-out of sound

principles of accountability of the FNPF management and Board, to the real owners of

the FNPF. These consultants’ direct involvement in the politically inspired symposium

sadly shows how supposed independent experts will compromise their professionalism

into illegal processes being stage-managed by this illegal Military Regime. These

consultants’ recommendations also make sure that they will continue to earn further

consultancies well into the future.

In “End FNPF subsidy to Fiji Governments- linking the many battles” Pacific Scoop. 20 July 2011 I wrote:

The FNPF Board and Management conveniently ignore that FNPF has been giving large

subsidies (amounting to hundreds of millions over the last forty years) to successive Fiji

governments through easily available loans, at interest rates much lower than that

charged by commercial banks. The legal battle by current pensioners against FNPF and

the Military Regime, should point to these massive FNPF subsidies to Fiji governments

as a moral justification for Fiji Government to finance any future shortfalls in the

liabilities to existing pensioners. To help FNPF’s revenues and current contributors and

pensioners, these interest rate subsidies to Government should also be ended. For that to

occur, both pensioners and contributors need to fight Battle 3, which is to have an FNPF

Board completely accountable to its members.

In “Battle to seek justice for Fiji pensioners strikes new legal defining point”. Pacific Scoop. 1 August 2011, I wrote:

The Burness/ShameemLaw case is important for FNPF pensioners, but it is far more

important for the Fiji economy as a whole, because the planned FNPF action strikes at the heart of private property and legal contracts, both of which are at the core of all business transactions in Fiji and globally. This case should therefore be of great interest to Fiji’s business interests, Chambers of Commerce, Employers’ Federation and all investors in Fiji (not that any of them would support the case financially). The resolution of this case will be a defining moment for Fiji’s system of laws and justice.

I would like to point out that most of the above articles were published in Pacific Scoop run out of the Journalism programme at Auckland University of Technology, because they were banned 8

from Fiji media by the Media Censorship, which also deprived FNPF Members from easy public access to these analyses.

6.0 Background to current FNPF issues

The following are given as preliminary discussions of the relevant issues I discuss later.

6.1 Consultations with FNPF (and consultants) at their request

Upon request from Mr Rusiate Biudole (FNPF) I met with the Promontory consultants (Tompkins and Mason) at in the FNPF Board Room, Level 4, Plaza 2 (November 20, 2010). To my request for the earlier studies, Mr Biudole said he did not have the authority to give me those documents. On 17 February 2011, I had a second meeting with the consultants

At the end of April, at their invitation, I had a long meeting with a full FNPF management team, including Mr Aisake Taito (the CEO of FNPF). The FNPF staff gave a power-point presentation of their proposed changes. In response I gave them my views, some of which are elaborated in this statement.

I also explained to them exactly what I had stated in Parliament in 1998. Surprisingly, they used part of this last information very selectively in their public campaigns by misrepresenting me, that I was supporting their current proposals to bring the annuity rate down from 15% to 9%, whereas in Parliament I had been taking about the Government proposal to reduce the annuity gradually from 25% to 15% as opposed to my view then that it should be reduced to 15% immediately.

6.2 Brief Overview of Changes to FNPF Act

It should first and foremost be pointed out that the Fiji National Provident Fund is not a “government owned public enterprise” belonging to the entire Fiji public and tax-payers. It rightly belongs to a subset of the public, the workers whose contributions have funded it. It is only a historical co-incidence that the Fiji Government has controlled it totally from its inception till now.

The Fiji National Provident Fund began well before Fiji‟s independence in 1970. It was intended originally as a compulsory savings scheme for workers, with all the savings and interest thereon to be returned to the worker as a lump sum on retirement. I quote from the Legislative Council debates in 1968 and the statement by Hon AD Patel (Member for Social Services):

“A National Provident Fund is, in essence, a compulsory savings scheme for workers. Periodic contributions are deducted from the wages of individual members with a matching contribution for the employers. The funds accumulate for each member until he reaches a stipulated age or some other contingency arises. The amount credited to him, including interest, is paid out to the member”. 9

“Sir, this Fund will, in its initial stages, be essentially a compulsory savings scheme which will yield to its members, at the time of withdrawal, a lump sum…. When the amount standing to the credit of members becomes substantial, it will be possible to consider the substituting the payment of annuities for the payment of the lump sum”.

The system was then changed in 1975 to introduce a pension annuity option, which was set at 25% for single pensions, to encourage retirees to take the pension rather than the lump sum. Despite that high rate of pension, now generally acknowledged to be financially unsustainable in the long run, there were very low proportions of uptake of pensions- way less than 15%.

In the late 80s however, the pension uptake proportion began to rise, and by early 90s actuarial studies recognized that the annuity rate had to be brought down from the 25% rate. The 1993 ILO study advised that the annuity rate should be brought down gradually to 10%.

However, parliament decided to bring it down to 15%, but rather than immediately, as was suggested by me (then in Parliament), they decided (wrongly in my opinion) to bring it down gradually over a period of 10 years.

It would be a learning exercise for Fund members and pensioners and the current FNPF Board, for a Commission of Inquiry to clarify what exactly were the recommendations of the FNPF Board and management in that 1998 decision by Parliament.

More actuarial studies have been done recently (by Mercer) which has been the basis of the Promontory Report and its recommendations. These have also been used in various ways by the FNPF Board to justify the current planned review of the FNPF Act and provisions for pensions, including the intention publicly intimated (though never explicitly stated, despite many pensioner requests) to bring all annuity rates (existing and future) down to around 9%.

They have recently back-tracked and stated that they will only bring down some pensions, not all.

6.3 1998 parliamentary contribution on the proposed FNPF (Amendment) Act

During my period in Parliament, I spoke on the FNPF (Amendment) Bill 1998 (herewith attached) from Hansard 13 August 1998. My contribution is on pp. 499 to 505.

The FNPF management, in their recent publicity campaigns, has very selectively quoted from my Parliamentary contributions to justify why they should today reduce existing pensions and why they should reduce future pensions. It is important to repeat what I did say, in relation to the 1998 Parliamentary proposal to gradually reduce the single pension annuity rate from 25% to 15%. There was nothing of relevance to the current debate about reducing existing pensions, and future pensions from 15% to 9%.

The 1998 Bill sought to increase the contribution rate from 14% to 16%, stop the 2% deduction towards the Pension Buffer Fund, and to bring the annuity factor down from 25% to 15%, by one percentage point annually over a period of ten years. 10

In my contributions I pointed out that while FNPF till then had been well managed, and it had become the largest financial institution in the country, there were problems emerging (current problems are similar and perhaps more severe). While the number of employers was rising, the growth rate in the number of employers has been declining; the growth rate of employees was also declining; the growth rate of dollar contributions had also been falling; the growth rate of the investment portfolio has been falling. The interest rate credited to the members has been falling (from 10% to about 8% then) (now less at around 5%). There were large liquid balances being built up, even now. Loans to the Fiji Government and other public enterprises were excessive. If loans to statutory and government-owned enterprises were included, they amounted to 88% of all of FNPF‟s loans in 1997, and they are not capable of paying the best interest rates. There was a corresponding decline of loans to private sector which could pay higher interest rates. FNPF‟s prime responsibility was not to the country or to Government, but to its contributors (members and beneficiaries)

I pointed out that there was an inherent conflict of interest between the role of the Permanent Secretary of Finance as the “borrower” from FNPF, and his role as the Chairman of the FNPF Board, which approved loans (volumes and interest rate) to Government. I pointed out that “the primary responsibility must be to those people who have deposits in the Pension Fund. His primary responsibility is not to Government as manager of public finance policy, taxation and government expenditure. Pension or annuity rates greater than 15% I made two essential points in that section. The first was that I felt, as did the actuarial studies, that 25% of the final balance was too generous a provision. I then stated in Parliament, referring to the existing 25% pension rate:

“ If you have savings in the economy and you are receiving 25% on your savings,

and it is tax-fee as well, that is an incredibly generous rate of return. … within

four years you will get your money back and you will be laughing all the way to

the bank”

Secondly, I urged the Minister of Finance to bring the pension rate down, not gradually, but immediately to what was felt was the sustainable rate- at that time, considered to be 15%. I was well aware at the time that if the one percentage point decline was going to be phased in, then by the time anyone reached 55, the pension rate that would apply to would be 19%, higher than the 15% it was going to reduce to, eventually. I stated in Parliament (and I quote from the Hansard):

“Once you realize that the funds are not sustainable at 25% and you conclude that, through actuarial studies that the real sustainable rate for the funds is 15% of your final balance to be given as pension, why do you not bring in that change straight away because if it is not sustainable, it is not sustainable. You are saying that those young people who are working now, and who will be working over the next ten years, they will be contributing out of their income to maintain us older people at 25 percent or 23 percent, but when it comes for them to retire they will only be getting 15%”. Mr Speaker Sir, I believe there is an element of inequity in that. If you know the fund is sustainable at 15%, can you make the change now so that when I retire now I get 15%, and the person 11

who is going to work to contribute to my retirement pension will also get 15% when they retire.”

My professional view then was clearly that the pension rate of 19%, which applied to me also might also be too high, given that the actuarial experts had concluded that 15% was the sustainable rate. I see no reason to change that view even now, although I myself am receiving that rate.

It is my considered view that the annuity rates above 15% should not have been offered by the FNPF Board, the necessary legislation should not have been introduced by the Government of the Day, and Parliament should not have passed the FNPF (Amendment) Bill as it stood.

BUT, the historical reality and the facts are, that these rates above 15% were verified by Parliament in the Laws of Fiji, were offered by FNPF in explicit contracts, and a small proportion of retirees took up the offer of life pensions, through lawful contracts with the FNPF, including myself when I reached 55.

In the 25% annuity example I used in Parliament in 1998 I did not pay any attention to “the risk of dying early and losing all”, the eroding role of inflation, and that the lump-sum left with FNPF would earn interest over time.

I may also point out that when Parliament in 1998 discontinued the 2 cent in the dollar contribution to the Pension Buffer Fund, that it was probably the correct decision. But it also meant that the liability for the pensions then fell jointly on the General Reserve AND the Buffer Fund. This has not been acknowledged by the FNPF management and the Board, with FNPF accounts still showing the Buffer Fund and the General Reserve separately.

It is another mystery why the remaining Buffer Fund while kept separate, was not credited with the interest which other Members‟ Funds were. This would have been the right thing to do, as the FNPF has always been using that Buffer Fund money for investment purposes, and earning money, with interest being credited only to contributing members, while the General Reserve has also been increased.

6.4 The pension option or gamble: the “risk of dying early and losing all”

It is important to ask why it is that while professional qualified actuaries have concluded that the annuities between 15% to 25% have been excellent value, the historical reality with FNPF has been that the vast majority of retirees (more than 70%) have not been taking up the these supposedly “good” pension offers. In the early years when the annuity rate was as high as 25%, less than 10% of retirees were taking the pension. Even in recent years, less than 30% were. i.e 70% or more were taking up the lump sums.

In my 1998 parliamentary contribution I had said that if someone had a $200,000 final balance, and if they chose the 25% annuity as pension, “within four years, he will get his $200,000 back and thereafter he will be laughing all the way to the bank” and that my pension thereafter would have to be “unfairly” paid by existing contributors. Similar statements have been made by the FNPF management in their recent publicity campaigns and public advertisements (see “FNPF 12

clarifies Reform”). Basically, these suggest that after a passage of certain number of years (eg four years for 25% annuity), five for 20% annuity etc., all people on annuity rates 15% or more are being subsidized by current contributors.

This argument has two weaknesses I did not acknowledge in 1998. The first minor one is that at 25% it will still take you more than four years to get your “money back” as (a) your lump sum left with FNPF will earn income, and (b) inflation will erode the real value of your annuity so you need more in nominal dollars to “return” your original sum. This may be a small point when inflation is low and when the returns to the Fund have been dropping, but it becomes quite significant in period of high inflation (such as currently running at 10%, when all pensions get drastically eroded) and should returns to the Fund rise in the future.

But the more substantial criticism, which probably explains why such small proportions of FNPF retirees have taken the pension option, is that the FNPF was offering the retiree a “gamble” of a very good pension annuity, but the pensioner could die at any time with the end of all annuities. If indeed, he died before he had allegedly “used up” his final balance, then he would lose the remainder (except for that year‟s payment). For example, if at 25% annuity, he died within one year of taking the pension, he would lose.

This point was driven home to me personally at my own time of retirement, when an agent, a well-known company-award winning insurance agent from my own Gujerati community in Toorak, had offered good benefits and premiums. BUT at the last moment, in the week I reached 55, his company virtually doubled the premiums for the same benefits, stating that I was considered a serious health risk by his company health experts (because of my inherent condition of diabetes). I did then seriously consider whether I should just take the lump sum and convert it to some alternative investment such as a property, which would be available for my family whether I lived or died. In the end, I decided, that with my spouse also working, I would take the risk with the single pension.

6.5 It is a difficult choice- a “gamble” for ordinary folk, and especially poor retirees

For actuarial experts, this is their daily “bread and butter” work. But most ordinary retirees are totally lost in front of this kind of choice between taking the lump sum or the pension. It requires an incredibly difficult financial assessment of the risks and returns of that choice- and no advice is ever available to our ordinary people.

Effectively the FNPF has been offering a “gamble” to retirees:

A. You can take your life savings as a lump sum, invest it or consume

it, or do with it what you will, and it is yours and your family’s,

whether you live or die, or you can choose

B. Leave that life savings with us; we will give you this annuity

(dollar value per month) until you die. If you die early, sorry, that’s it. There is no more money for your family thereafter (except for that current year of annuity). Tough luck if you only got back a quarter or a half or two thirds of your life savings. 13

One can imagine the thousands of households where this decision has had to be made; with one partner saying “let‟s take the pension- it is really good” and the others saying „what if you/I die?‟

Since 2006 it has become clear that the pension fund investments and loans are not doing well, and may be subject to further stresses and strains in future there are questions. I have myself been pressured to advise close friends (some well-educated, including lawyers) that the current 15% tax free annuity was still a good return, provided it was not eroded by high inflation in the future, and unfortunately, there was no guarantee that would not happen. I suggested that they could leave just enough in the pension fund to receive an annuity that was enough to maintain them, and that they use the remaining lump sum, to diversify their investments which would be available to their families should they die.

It never entered my mind then that a future FNPF Board might try to reduce annuities already agreed upon and signed, as indicated by the current proposed Review.

I suspect that most ordinary Fiji retirees are “risk-averse” and choose not to risk losing their entire balance if they die early. This is why the majority of retirees have been taking the lump sum option even though actuarial experts and economists might suggest that the annuity at 25% or 19% or 15% is financially a much better option. This is similar behavior to that of risk-averse peasant farmers who will not take loans on their land as collateral, in case they lose their only asset. Bankers and economists may advise farmers otherwise.

I imagine that if a study was done of the classes of retirees who took the pension and who took the lump sum, it will turn out that those who choose to take pensions are better educated and able to make a more rational decision on the choice between pensions and lump sums. I suspect that it will also be found that the pensioners are those who are already better off, and have other assets (such as their own houses) so that they are not “risking all” when they take a pension. The poorer retirees, without other assets, may well be “risking all” if they chose a pension. This would also explain why such low proportions of FNPF retirees have taken the lump sum rather than the pension, as a “rational choice for them”. Who is to say that the “risk averse” attitude of poor persons taking lump sums when they retire is inappropriate?

I point out also that the 2002 ILO study had concluded that the take-up rate for the annuity (percentage of retirees taking the pension option) had declined around then partly because of the reducing annuity rates, but partly also because the increased uncertainties and hardships after the 2000 political events led to people withdrawing money for other more urgent needs than leaving their savings for annuities. The ILO study also pointed out that the returns to the Fund had also declined since the events of 2000. One could make similar statements after the events of 2006.

The assumption by actuarial studies (such as the one commissioned by ILO) that in the long term 35% of the retirees would be taking up the pension option, has been proven quite wrong. This must inevitably also mean that their estimation of the appropriate annuity rates would also be on the low side. 14

6.6 The paradox of 15% to 25% annuities being “financial heaven” for some, “financial

problems” for others, BUT “a bad business decision by FNPF Boards and management”.

For that minority of retirees (say 30%) choosing the pension annuities between 15% and 25%:

 some proportion would have found them excellent value

 some proportion will die before they “recover their life savings” (where

they end up is anyone‟s guess) and their families will have lost out

 nevertheless, the actuarial studies are probably correct in saying that FNPF

Boards have been making “wrong business decisions” in offering 15% or

higher annuities.

But one may also ask how sound was the decision of the 70% or more of the retiree who have taken their lump sums?

It should be kept in mind that should at any time, a 100% of the retirees just take their FNPF savings out as lump sum to invest and/or consume elsewhere (as was the original intention of the Fund when it was established), all these tough questions about the appropriate level of the annuity rate would become totally immaterial.

For the future pensioners, it will be important to ensure that the lump sum option is not ever lost. Current Promontory proposals have one alternative in which part of the contributions may go towards a compulsory pension, like the American superannuation schemes which I discuss further in brief below in light of cases being tried in the US recently.

******************* 15

I now come to the questions asked by Mr Burness:

A. Question 1 (a) Can existing pensions be legally reduced at this current juncture?

Some basic facts are obtained from the records.

(a) The current pensions have all been offered by a FNPF Board and a Fund totally controlled by Government.

It is abundantly clear that

(i) all the FNPF Board members have been appointed by Government.

(ii) the Chairman of the Board has always been appointed by Government.

(iii) the FNPF Board has the statutory power to make all the decisions, except where they have to be made by parliament or under regulation

(iv) in all cases decisions on annuity rates have been made by the legislature on the recommendations of the FNPF Board

(v) While Employers may have nominated their representatives through various Employers‟ associations and such, the appointments are made by the Minister.

(vi) Unions have often nominated the employee representatives, but it has been the case that various governments over the years have also selected certain union representatives of their own choice.

In 2006 this trend continued, following which the FNPF Board was changed, and then changed again. The Chairpersons of the FNPF Board who have always been appointed have been either Permanent Secretaries of the Ministries of Finance, or Public Service Commission, or Labour, and, once, the Governor of the Reserve Bank. One of the rare exceptions is the current Chairperson (whose citizenship should be clarified to Fund Members). He certainly is not a representative of either the Employers or Employees.

All Government employee FNPF Board Chairpersons, being selected by the Minister of Finance have serious conflicts of interests with their duties to the Fund and their responsibilities to the Minister, thereby becoming both the “lender” and the “borrower” at the same time. I have publicly pointed out these conflicts of interest even before 2006.

The FNPF Board has been the ultimate decision-maker on:

(i) all large lending decisions (volume of lending and interest rates to be charged) including how much to lend to Government annually.

(ii) the annual decision on the interest rate to be credited to the FNPF Members. 16

(iii) the three critical decisions made, two with the approval of Parliament, on the pension annuity rates for single and double pensions: the first being the original decision to pay 25% annuity on single pensions; the second being the 1998 decision to reduce pensions gradually from 25% to 15%.

(iv) all large investment decisions, including the questionable price paid for the majority shares in ATH which independent assessors thought may have been more than $100 million or probably up to $150 million in excess; and the cost blowout at Natadola and Momi.

The FNPF management would presumably have been asked to give advice on all such proposals and bills before Parliamentary decisions. These decisions would have been made only with the advice of the Board, but transparency in such advice has always been a missing element in the past. Any future Commission of inquiry can clarify what exactly was the advice given by FNPF management and FNPF Board, particularly whenever any decision based on it went against the actuarial advice (as in 1975 when the 25% annuity was decided, and in 1998 when the gradually reducing annuity from 25% to 15% was decided).

The question that also needs to be put is to what extent the various governments had influence, or even interference, with the FNPF Board decisions? Only an Inquiry can determine that, particularly when FNPF‟s most recent consultants (Promontory) clearly hint at it, as evidenced by the following statement in the Report of Promontory that was made available to me recently:

Paragraph 90 of the Report:

“In discussion with stakeholders… appointments have been seen as highly politicized and blamed for some of the poorer investment outcomes. A common theme was that Government had interfered too much with operations and decision-making of the Fund.

Further in Paragraph 91:

“Policy Principle: the FNPF Board should comprise a majority of independent members. The Board’s primary fiduciary responsibility is to act first and foremost in the interests of the fund members, not representative groups, Government or even the wider interests of Fiji.”

Promontory advised that any new legislation needed to spell this out explicitly and the law be strengthened in this regard.

It can be seen therefore, even from a Report that was commissioned by the FNPF itself, as well as the appointments process to the FNPF Board (not necessarily a defect in the law, but as part of the political process), that FNPF contributors (members) and current pensioners have had no say whatsoever in any FNPF Board decisions and were not briefed on the important and significant investment decisions that FNPF Board were making over the years. The pensioners have been passive recipients of FNPF Board decisions. 17

The fact that they were given a written undertaking to receive a certain definite amount of pension for their lifetimes, was something that the Board itself decided through Parliamentary approval.

Some may think that Section 63 of the FNPF Act which states that the FNPF Board may “prescribe the amount, frequency of payment and duration of any annuity payable under the provisions of paragraph (b) of section 64” as may be” gives the Board an authority to reduce existing pensions. This would be a completely wrong interpretation, as that section simply refers to Section 64 (b) which gives powers only over the method of dispensing the annuity. The actual annuity itself has been and can only be decided by Parliament, as a percentage of whatever balance the pensioner leaves with the Fund. Once that percentage has been fixed (and the OP-9 form specifies both the percentage and the corresponding dollar amount), the amount of the total annual annuity in dollars and cents cannot be changed- as that would be changing the percentage of the final balance being given to the pensioner, which has already been determined by Parliament, and offered to the pensioner in a contract on the OP-9 form.

(b) FNPF’s capacity to contract.

FNPF is a corporate body and legal entity. Article 4 of the FNPF Act states that the FNPF Board shall be a body corporate and shall, by the name of “The Fiji National Provident Fund Board”, have perpetual succession and a common seal …. The Board may sue and be sued in its corporate name and may enter into contracts.

By law a legal corporate body (FNPF) makes a clear explicit offer (on Form 9-OP) to the retirees that should they choose the pension option (whether single, joint or combination) and leave their savings with the FNPF, they would receive in return an annuity (expressed explicitly in dollars as a fixed percentage of their final balance) until they (or their nominated partner) died. Nowhere in the contract (the 9-OP form) is there any clause which warns the pensioners that their pension rate may be changed in the future by the FNPF Board at its discretion.

The Board‟s powers to vary the annuity rate, already offered to and accepted by pensioners is therefore questionable and ultra vires the FNPF Act.

(c) No consultant has advised that the existing pensioners’ contracts be altered in any form as a solution to FNPF problems.

The most recent report that has been discussed in the public domain and called The Promontory Report referred to the above issue at paragraph 25:

“There have been some suggestions that existing pensions should be

withdrawn, capped or reset at a discount. … Any retrospective adjustment of

existing pension benefits would be difficult under contract law…… While an

adjustment to existing pensions remains a possibility, it is not further

considered in this paper”. 18

Promontory points out, in fact, that FNPF has commissioned actuarial work to value the current pension obligations with the view of setting aside enough assets to support the existing pension liabilities as they are run off, and to identify actuarial assumptions for new conversion rates to ensure that they are sustainable”.

Promontory based the rest of their analysis and recommendations on FNPF not breaking its contracts with existing pensioners. The implications of amending or canceling such a significant aspect of law, namely the sanctity of contracts would be serious enough for an international consultancy firm to not recommend this, if it wished to safeguard its own international reputation. Indeed, the Promontory report deals mainly with the problem of funding future pension annuities, which they recommended to be reduced towards 9% or thereabouts as has been widely advertised.

It should be noted and emphasized that Promontory clearly separated the problem of funding existing pensioners with the problem of funding future pensions, whose annuity rate may be reduced by any legitimately appointed Board, which I shall address further below briefly.

(d) Some similar issues arising in other jurisdictions on pensions crises

It is acknowledged that pension funds the world over are having to tackle the problems of unfunded future liabilities. The United States is one country where there have been many legal cases both at the state and federal level. While US superannuation schemes are quite different from FNPF, some principles are common in the legal cases.

In the case where the pension was pegged to an employee‟s last salary, the courts have found that the pensioner was entitled to the real value of the pension, so that should the salaries of his last position increase because of inflation or improving economic conditions, then the pension should be suitably adjusted upwards. Such adjustments are not considered for FNPF Pensions and therefore are not relevant to the present case of Burness v FNPF and Ors.

In many recent United States legislature’s attempts to reform pension schemes (emphasis added), workers and pensioners have been filing lawsuits arguing that decreasing their pension benefits violated the U.S. Constitution and/or state constitutions, most of which protect “contracts” from being unilaterally altered by the government while “Takings Clauses” protected their personal property.

In any event, comparing the pension schemes of the United States with Fiji is not particularly useful because of the very different processes and choices offered to the type of benefits. The US superannuation systems are completely different from that of FNPF. Not only are most of the systems state funded and controlled, but the schemes essentially are based on setting pensions relating to the last few years of work before retirement, and the Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) that would be applied following retirement. There is, moreover, no “choice” at the end of the retirement whether to take a lump sum or pension: the pension has to be taken and most vested (the full or part of the pension rights in surviving partners), should the pensioner die. 19

The American cases have focused on whether current workers‟ future pension rights (such as reference salary or COLA adjustment) could be changed by employers in the middle of their careers. In other words the “contract” and “property rights” were being determined during the employment period.

By and large it has been found that legislative attempts by States to take away or reduce pensioners‟ rights after they had been granted and were being enjoyed, would be struck down on either the Contracts Clauses or the “Taking Clauses” in the US law.

Some United States courts have suggested that States could change superannuation schemes going forward and reduce future benefits associated with future employment, as long as workers‟ already earned superannuation benefits were not reduced. These situations are vastly different from that of the current FNPF pensioners‟ contracts and property rights which have all been determined:

(a) at the point of retirement,

(b) with reference only to an explicitly stated proportion (ranging from 15%

to 25%) of the Final Balance (or some portion of it), stated explicitly as a

fixed monthly amount in nominal dollars, AND

(c) with no adjustment for COLA.

Furthermore, none of the US state superannuation schemes suffer from the weakness that the FNPF scheme has of pensions being continuously eroded by inflation. It may be pointed out from the economics point of view that Fiji‟s recent history of inflation has been that any pension granted in 1996 (eighteen years ago- the average life expectancy at 55) would be worth some 42% less in real terms this year.

Question 1 (b) Can FNPF vary the pension rates differentially for low and high incomes?

The FNPF Board has announced by way of paid advertisement in the daily papers that they will not reduce the existing pensions of some 89% of pensioners whose pensions are “below the poverty line”, but they will reduce those of the other 11% earning higher pensions.

However, the FNPF Board is prevented from varying pension rates differentially by the FNPF Act. Section 12 B of the FNPF Act which outlines the duties to be exercised by the Board as Trustees require that the Board must abide by all rules and principles of law which impose any duty on a trustee exercising a power of investment including all rules and principles which impose (a) any duty to exercise the. powers of a trustee in the best interests of all beneficiaries of the trust; (b) any duty to act impartially towards beneficiaries and between different classes of beneficiaries.

The FNPF Act does not stipulate a “poverty line” to be used to determine differential annuity rates for pensioners. Therefore no part of the FNPF Act authorizes the FNPF Board to reduce the pension of one group of pensioners who are allegedly “above some poverty line”, which is moreover to be decided by the Board. On what economic criteria and whose judgment is the “poverty line” to be assessed? 20

Furthermore, the FNPF Board‟s argument is quite internally untenable in the first place in that many pensioners supposedly receiving pensions “below the poverty line” would have taken or withdrawn part of their savings for housing or education or other reasons allowed in the FNPF Act, and also partly as a lump sum upon retirement. The actual pension being paid as an annuity may not be used to differentiate between “better off” pensioners and “worse off” pensioners, as appears to be behind the intentions of the FNPF to reduce some pensions and not some others- clearly discriminatory in the economic analysis that it applies to this point.

Form 9-OP does not state that, in future, the Board might reduce the pension incomes for some and not others. So far, the assessments on non-sustainability which have been made by all the actuaries have been on the grounds that the percentage rates of annuity which have been set, have been too high and unsustainable. The actuaries have never stated that the FNPF is unsustainable because of the high dollar value pensions to some pensioners, whose annuity rates have been unduly high, but that it was all right to give the high pension annuities to those earning low dollar amounts.

Indeed there has never been, and never likely to be, an actuarial recommendation that higher annuity rates should be paid to those ending up with low final balances in their accounts, and hence only capable of receiving low pension rates, but not to those receiving higher dollar values. If some current pensioners have been receiving large amounts annually long after they retired, this is entirely due to: (a) their large final balances and (b) the annuity factor that FNPF offered them in place of lump sum withdrawals

Both FNPF Boards and the Governments of the Day that passed the necessary legislation and offered these contracts were responsible for this. Is it “unfair” that some persons have received multiples of what they had as the final balance in their accounts because they have lived long enough after retirement? That should have been expected in any case, because some would

live longer and some would die earlier than what so-called life expectancy was deemed to be.

In 2009, under the chairmanship of Pramesh Chand, who was simultaneously a government employee and Chairman of the Board, FNPF has been expressing the view that those who lived longer are now “unfairly” drawing on the Fund and on current members‟ contributions. Such a position is not economically justified nor rational. It appears to be prejudice rather than based on sound economic analysis and actuarial principles that some of those receiving annuities, will live longer than the average, and some die before the average expected date of death.

Question 1 (c) Does FNPF have the financial capacity to pay existing pensions at

their current rates?

There are two sets of internal sources. F or the sake of convenience the first set is called S1, S2, S3, S4 (explicit legislative source) and the last is the external government source that the Board is specifically empowered through the FNPF Act to call on, in emergencies.

The first internal source (S1) is the Pension Buffer Fund which was expressly set up for that purpose in 1975 with members injecting 2 cents in the dollar between 1975 and 1998, when the injection was stopped by Parliament. This Buffer Fund was then absorbed into the General Reserve in 2000. However the account was still maintained, and received all the balances of 21

members who chose the pension option (ie the purchase price from the pensioners of their annuities). Of course this 2% deduction may have been unfair or even an infringement of the property rights of those who chose the lump sum option because they then lost totally that 2% they had contributed- I will refer to this again below, as one of the “difficult” questions that may be addressed by the Commission of Inquiry.

Not only was the Buffer Fund amount substantial, but the FNPF Board quite wrongly neglected to pay interest on this Buffer Fund as it appears from my assessment of the Annual Report and by press statements and letters to the Board written by other analysts. While the Members Funds were being credited every year by an interest rate declared annually, and the General Reserve augmented, the Buffer Funds were not so credited, even though the Buffer Fund monies were being invested by the Fund and continued to earn income for the Fund (but going only to Member Funds and General Reserve, not to the Buffer Fund). Had the Buffer Fund been credited with the interest, my calculations on this show that even without the 2 cent injections from 1975, the Buffer Fund would in 2010 have amounted to $870 millions, which would cover 18.6 years of the current annual pensions payout of around $47 million. Of course, correspondingly less would then have been then credited to the General Reserve and the Members Funds.

It should be noted that the current group of pensioners (earning between15% and 25%) will be gradually reducing in numbers, with those earning the highest annuities in general dying earlier. The pension bill will therefore be gradually reducing in dollar terms, and faster in real terms, given that these payments are not indexed to inflation which is currently running at 10% annually. The properly augmented Buffer Fund could probably fund this current (but gradually reducing) group of pensioners for more than 18 years. The actuaries should have done this calculation for FNPF which should release these figures to the public: what will be the time trend of liabilities posed by the current pensioners on FNPF at 15% t 25% without adding to their numbers be from now on?

The second source (S2) to pay pensions is the savings from all the pensioners who die before they “exhaust their final balance” (the FNPF has given no data on this). Why is it that while FNPF has given numerous tables alleging cross-subsidization of existing pensioners by current contributors when they live “beyond their alleged expected lifetime”, yet it has never acknowledged nor given any data whatsoever on the numbers of pensioners who have died before they could “get back their money”.

These “savings for FNPF from those who die early” will partly cover the costs of those annuities where pensioners live on, and this information needs to be disclosed by FNPF to the beneficiaries whose right it is to know what alternative mechanisms FNPF has explored instead of the proposal they make that pensions must be reduced.

The third source (S3) (The General Reserve) may be called on if and only if the funds from (a) and (b) above were not enough. Note that the General Reserve has also been contributed to by pensioners and after the Buffer Fund “2 cent in the dollar” injections were discontinued in 1998, was expected to be the final guarantor of pensions. 22

Another internal source S4 (explicit legislative source) is derived from Section 8 of FNPF Act which requires that “the Board shall, having considered the recommendation of the General Manager”, declare a rate of a rate of interest to be paid to members‟ credit, not less than 2 1/2 per cent per annum provided that:

no rate of interest exceeding 2 1/2 per cent per annum shall be so declared, unless, in the opinion of the Board, the ability of the Fund to meet all payments required to be paid under this Act is not endangered by the declaration of such rate”.

The FNPF is currently planning to reduce pension rates for future pensioners and existing pensioners, alleging that current pension rates are unsustainable, and even alleging that these pension rates have been known to be unsustainable for more than a decade. Yet, year after year, the FNPF Board has declared a rate of interest higher than 2 ½ percent (including this year (2011) as well at 5 ½%) to be credited to Members‟ funds. The FNPF Board is acting in contravention of the FNPF Act which very specifically asks the Trustees to not declare a rate of interest above 2 ½% if the Fund is not sustainable. In other words, the General Reserve should be built up, if it is thought that the pensions are not sustainable at existing annuity rates.

What is indeed worrying is that at times, the Board anomalously credited a percentage which was even higher that what the Fund was earning (as in 2002: see ILO Report on FNPF 2002 ).

The FNPF Board has been in breach of the FNPF Act by declaring rates of interest which are in excess of 2 ½ percent and at the same time claiming that the Fund is unsustainable. It appears that the FNPF may, in fact, be sued by the beneficiaries under the Act.

While not doing what it is specifically required to do by the FNPF Act, the FNPF Board is attempting to do what is nowhere authorized in the FNPF Act, namely to reduce existing annuities contracted to existing pensioners or their beneficiaries.

Last, the FNPF also has at its disposal an external source to fund any shortfalls in the existing pensions: The FNPF Board is authorized under Section 10 of the FNPF Act which states:

If the Fund is, at any time, unable to pay any sum which is required to be paid under the provisions of this Act, the sum required shall be advanced to the Fund by the Government and the Fund shall, as soon as practicable, repay to the Government the sums so advanced”

Consequently, the FNPF Board can make a case to the Government of the Day, that given that is has been past Governments who have been responsible for the unnecessarily high annuity rates offered to pensioners, they could set aside whatever complementary resources are needed to cover any deficit faced by FNPF, as estimated by the actuaries. This will also have an element of economic fairness in that it will be taxpayers at large who will bear the burden, if it can be called that, given that investments of the Board have not always been transparently undertaken, nor based on sound investment strategies or advice. 23

This last solution, will also ensure that any additional burden posed by existing pensioners (and the evidence suggests that there should not be any required beyond a properly augmented Buffer Fund), are not borne by the current contributors, who I acknowledge will probably face a reduction in their annuities in future.

B. Question 2: Should the current FNPF Board and Government of the Day reduce future pension annuities or implement their planned reform?

As an economist with longstanding appreciation of the economic problems of Fiji under many governments, I can only state what should be obvious to anyone being able to read the signs of a wide variety of problems facing FNPF in the present and likely to arise in the future.

The actuarial experts brought in by FNPF itself have all stated that the sustainable rate of annuity depends on FNPF‟s return on investments, the growth of employment and incomes in the Fiji economy, the contributions to the FNPF, the rate of inflation and the future trend in life expectancies of men and women in Fiji (none have discussed the ethnicity factor at all, quite important to expert demographers). I explain why the current members of the Fund would be ill-served if any such proposed FNPF review were to go ahead as currently intimated.

(a) Refusal of the FNPF Board and Management to supply all reports and data to the Fund Owners: contrary to Fund “Core Values”

Under the provisions of the Act, the FNPF and all its assets belongs to the current contributors and pensioners. The FNPF Board are only trustees, and together with the FNPF Management, are supposed to be accountable and transparent to the members (this is explicitly acknowledged by the FNPF Website). Yet, for several years now, both the FNPF Board (current and preceding ones) and Management (current and preceding ones) have adamantly refused to make available to the beneficiaries of the Fund, all the various Reports and relevant data on the sustainability of the FNPF.

Such refusal to provide information to the contributors and pensioners, and their proposal to reduce existing pensions, would contradict the following “Core Values” which FNPF advertises on its website:

Accountability: Being answerable and having the courage and honesty to take ownership of our actions.

Fairness: Treating everyone in an equitable and nondiscriminatory manner

Integrity: Being honest and fair to all our stakeholders.

Excellence: Always maintaining highest standards.

The Board Members and FNPF management ought to be taken to task for their abject failure to abide by these “Core Values”, particularly since even their data on the website ends with 2007 figures. The latest data on their “Key Indicators” webpage ends with 2007 data- already 24

four years out of date.

While I have perused the Reports undertaken by various consultants provided to me, I find that there is are serious gaps in data, and specifically, none of them give the details of actuarial projections based on the life expectancies; therefore one has no idea if their assumptions and analyses are correct. Some of their assumptions about future life expectancies may even be wrong, as I indicate below.

(b) Possible errors in actuarial assumptions

The Promontory Report‟s recommendations were based on the Mercer actuarial study (by Richard Codron, Consulting Actuary, Authorised Representative #263844 of Mercer Investment Nominees Limited). The Mercer presentation at the symposia organized by FNPF stated that the mortality rates they used were derived from “the 2008 Fijian population life tables prepared by the World Health Organization”. This is not a problem, but Mercer they went further and stated that they used “Mortality improvement based on experience of the Australian population over 25 years as reported in the current Australian Life Tables (2005-07).”

Demographers will know that projections of improvements in Australian mortality cannot be used to predict future trends in Fiji‟s mortality. Australia‟s life expectancy is rising, their people are living longer, and drawing pensions for longer. If the Australian patterns of mortality improvement did apply to Fiji, then Fiji‟s people would also be living longer, and the sustainability of FNPF pensions may indeed require relatively lower pension or annuity rates for Fiji. However, if Fiji‟s mortality falls or stagnates, then Fiji‟s pensioners will die earlier than predicted by Australian trends, and Fiji‟s pension annuity rates would correspondingly need to be relatively higher.

All indications are that Fiji‟s mortality will not fall like Australia‟s and Fiji‟s life expectancies will not rise like Australia‟s. In Fiji, life expectancy for some ethnic and gender sub-groups groups actually fell between 1986 and 1996. Demographer Dr Martin Bakker, working with the Fiji Islands Bureau of Statistics, concluded that “adult mortality has actually increased somewhat during the period 1986-2001” and at best there may be a mortality stagnation, not improvement. Dr Bakker attributed this to possible deterioration in the health services for adults; increase in non-communicable (lifestyle) diseases amongst the adult population; differential net migration, with successful emigrants more likely to be healthy persons than unhealthy (i.e Australia, NZ, Canada and US have certain health requirement for their emigrants).

As an economist who also does population projections and is aware of some demographic factors that affect life expectancies, I conclude that there is every possibility that the three factors listed above, will be even stronger in the future because of the following:

(i) the continued losses of qualified health personnel and the stagnation of

the Fiji economy and health budget, will continue to worsen the Fiji health service system

(ii) the life style diseases will worsen as Fiji people consume more and more processed Westernized foods and junk foods (as is the clear trend now as reported

25

in my up-coming Report on Fiji‟s 2008-09 Household Income and Expenditure Survey for FIBoS).

(iii) the emigration of healthier persons (so selected by destination country health requirements) will continue now that even qualified indigenous Fijians are emigrating in large numbers as qualified Indo-Fijians and Others have been doing for two decades.

Therefore Mercer‟s use of the Australian improvements in mortality to project long-term pension outflows for Fiji is not appropriate. A similar error was made by the ILO actuarial projections. The projected life expectancies for 2010 I estimate to be possibly some 3 years higher than actual; and for 2030 may be higher by 6 to 7 years, if Fiji life expectancies continue to stagnate as they are doing at the moment. The Mercer differences are of a similar order.

What would be the impact on the actuarial projections if Fiji life expectancies do not rise: almost certainly the annuity rates to be recommended would have to be higher than those currently discussed. How much higher? We do not know. Because the FNPF management and Board, and none of the consultants (from Mercer or the Promontory) are releasing any actuarial Reports, or their detailed analysis, or any sensitivity analysis which might inform a few of us more numerate persons amongst us about the possibilities.

Yet it is the FNPF members funds that pay the management‟s salaries and the consultancy fees. Fund Members are not convinced that the experts who have been hired by FNPF are making the correct analysis and the correct recommendations. They would like to be convinced, and it is their right to be convinced.

To give one further example of confusing consultant conclusions, the ILO 2002 study concluded (Key results, p. v) that “under the status quo conditions, the Fund would remain fully funded for the next 30 years.” (though they also acknowledged that this would reduce if the Fund was not able to maintain the 7% return on their investments).

(c) Poor Investment decisions by FNPF Boards

A very important question for investigation is whether successive FNPF Boards have been giving loans to the Fiji Government at relatively low rates which the governments would not have received from the commercial banks, locally or internationally. Would a truly independent Board and FNPF, free to invest internationally and locally, have been able to receive higher interest rates from the Fiji Government which could have resulted in higher returns to Members and higher sustainable annuities to pensioners?

Another important question is, to what extent did the Board (which was not appointed according to the Act) make a difference to the kind of investments that the Board made over the last few years? To what extent is the current liquidity crisis due to the large investments made recently at Natadola, Momi, GPH, FSC, Tappoo City etc which are not returning the loans on time, as they 26

should? Can independent reports from accounting firms be made available to the beneficiaries and members on how these were decided and managed and whether there was sufficient due diligence as required by the Act.

Would a politically independent FNPF Board have made the large loans to FSC which I believe has technically been insolvent for a couple of years? To what extent are FNPF losses on the loans to FSC undermining profitability because of the collapse of the sugar industry due to non-availability of the EU loan because of Fiji‟s failure to have elections in 2009 as promised?

To what extent is the pressure for the reduction in annuity partly due to the Fiji Government‟s decisions through the RBF to bring back FNPF investments from abroad. FNPF has clearly lost income, while losing the foreign exchange capital value. The 2002 ILO Report specifically recommended (p.vi) “given the limitations of the domestic capital market in Fiji, the FNPF should seek wider possibilities for investment”. Instead of allowing it to invest more overseas, FNPF was forced to bring back whatever little they had invested abroad.

(d) Some suggested “solutions” are not so simple: the complexities of the Buffer Fund

One may consider the complexities of the Buffer Fund issue of the “2 cents in the dollar” contribution which has been suggested should be brought back in order to ensure FNPF ability to pay for current and future pensions. While it appears a simple solution, it is not straightforward from the legal and ethical point of view, as it raises another problematic issue of discrimination against those who could not take advantage of the Buffer Fund if they chose a certain option at retirement.

When the Fund was first being set up (following a Report by British Expert J.E.Ashford and work by the first manager H.S.Robinson), the Hon Member for Social Services had outlined the logic of what they were doing in the Legislative Council debates in 1968:

“A National Provident Fund is, in essence, a compulsory savings scheme for

workers. Periodic contributions are deducted from the wages of individual

members with a matching contribution for the employers. The funds

accumulate for each member until he reaches a stipulated age or some other

contingency arises. The amount credited to him, including interest, is paid out

to the member”.(added emphasis)

Clearly, the deductions for the FNPF were always held to be the property of the worker, to be returned at the end of his working life. There is therefore an extremely convincing view that the 2 cents deduction towards the Buffer Fund was unfair, and also infringed the property rights of those pension contributors who eventually took the lump sum option, and therefore “lost” that 2 cents contribution for ever.

The question then is who decided to establish the Buffer Fund in the first place? Was it based on the recommendations of the FNPF management and/or Board? Was Parliament responsible for the eventual legislation? There are clearly many legal and other issues that would need to be 27

addressed in any comprehensive review of the FNPF Act, properly and thoroughly carried out so as to quell and doubts in the future.

(e) Other negative consequences for FNPF resulting from political decisions

To what extent is the current FNPF crisis due to lack of investment, lack of economic growth, lack of growth in employment and incomes, and FNPF contributions due to the continuing political uncertainties? These factors have been stated by all Reports on FNPF over the past two decades since 1987.

To what extent is the high rate of inflation which is eroding all pensions and funds in the Pension Fund caused by the apparent massive deficit financing by the Government (using easy funds obtained from the FNPF), and lack of economic growth?

These are all questions which would need to be examined in detail with full facts and figures, and all available reports, made available to an expert Commission of inquiry, and to Fund Members.

Any fundamental decisions should and can only be made by the collective responsibility of the people, through their elected leaders in Parliament as before.

7.0 Conclusion The need for collective approval of any amendments to the law on compulsory savings of members and beneficiaries through an elected Parliament

Any changes to the Fiji National Provident Fund provision have historically been implemented through an elected parliament, with full responsibility falling on the people‟s own elected representatives and debated, whether or not any amendments were finally made. Whether or not they were the right decision or wrong decision it is a collective decision taken by society through its elected representatives. This is the only way in which such changes should be made to a legislation that will affect the lifetime savings and pensions of hundreds of thousands of waged and salaried persons in Fiji.

Given that even elected parliaments are not necessarily comprised of financial, economic and social experts, it would be essential that there should first of all be an Expert Commission of Inquiry which would examine all the financial, economic, actuarial expert analyses and reports, consider the past history (including key decisions, successes, failures, errors in judgment by FNPF Managements and Boards etc ) in the context of the broad social and political environment, and give reasoned and balanced advice on the future path for the Fiji National Provident Fund.

If the Commission finds that the actuarial studies, properly revised to Fund members satisfaction, do indicate the need for reviews of the pension fund, then that would no doubt go ahead, but only with social approval and social consensus.

An elected parliament is due in 2014, according to the promise and commitment of the Government of the Day. A Commission of Inquiry will inevitably take several months to 28

establish. The Inquiry would itself take a year or so to clarify all the issues and obtain consensus from affected parties, by which time an elected parliament will be imminent or already in operation.

Given that the FNPF Review as planned will imply extremely comprehensive changes to the Fund and its operations, and will have a major impact on Fiji‟s financial and economic system, as well significant impact on the welfare of those retiring in the future, it is only appropriate that such changes be brought in by an elected parliament.

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